Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 4 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Manchester City | 4 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Everton | 5 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Aston Villa | 4 | -4 | 3 |
17 | West Ham United | 4 | -4 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
59.18% ( -0.07) | 21.89% ( 0.01) | 18.93% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.52% ( 0.04) | 44.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.15% ( 0.04) | 66.85% ( -0.04) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% ( -0.01) | 14.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.17% ( -0.02) | 42.83% ( 0.02) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.68% ( 0.09) | 37.32% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.9% ( 0.09) | 74.1% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 59.17% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |