Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Leicester City | 2 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Southampton | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Aston Villa | 2 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Nottingham Forest | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
32.52% ( -0.4) | 26.68% ( 0.12) | 40.8% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( -0.59) | 53.54% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% ( -0.5) | 75.05% ( 0.5) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.24% ( -0.56) | 30.76% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% ( -0.67) | 67.02% ( 0.67) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.12) | 25.82% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( -0.17) | 60.78% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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