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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Perth Oval
Brisbane Roar

Perth Glory
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Castro (40', 75'), Fornaroli (68')
Ingham (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hingert (45+4')

Preview: Perth Glory vs. Brisbane Roar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Perth Glory entertain Brisbane Roar in the Australian A-League on Friday morning as both sides look to maintain their solid starts to the new campaign.

The hosts last played on February 5 and will be hoping they can pick up where they left off after winning their last two outings, while Warren Moon's men will be looking to end a three-game winless run.


Match preview

Perth Glory manager Richard Garcia pictured in December 2020© Reuters

The Glory are sitting in eighth position in the top-flight standings after picking up nine points from their opening five league games.

Due to several postponements, Richard Garcia's side have four games in hand over some of their domestic rivals and will be confident of climbing up the division in the coming weeks.

The HBF Park outfit have been the A-League's most entertaining side in 2020-21. Twenty-seven goals have been scored in their five fixtures, and their 15-goal haul means they are the second-highest scorers despite playing the fewest games.

Garcia will know that there is likely to be some rustiness within his ranks after the lengthy layoff, but it may have given him time to work on Perth's defensive frailties, and that could make for an exciting prospect.

Brisbane made a fast start to the season, winning four of their first five fixtures. However, a recent poor run of form has seen them collect just two points from a possible nine.

A 0-0 draw with reigning champions Sydney FC last time out saw the Suncorp Stadium side fall four points behind league leaders Central Coast Mariners, albeit with a game in hand.

The Roar's success throughout the early stages of this campaign has been built on solid foundations. They have the joint-best defensive record in the division and have kept two clean sheets in a row.

Brisbane's back five will face one of their toughest tests of the season when they come up against this free-scoring Perth side, and the matchup should make for an intriguing encounter.

Perth Glory Australian A-League form: WLLWW
Perth Glory form (all competitions): LWLLWW

Brisbane Roar Australian A-League form: WWWLDD


Team News

Perth Glory players pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Garcia will be unable to call upon the services of utility man Osama Malik after the Australian picked up a shoulder injury.

He is joined on the treatment table by 25-year-old Chris Ikonomidis. The attacking midfielder is set for a lengthy spell on the sidelines following an ankle problem.

Brisbane Roar have a clean bill of health coming into this one and are set to name a full-strength side as they seek all three points.

Moon will be hoping top scorer Dylan Wenzel-Halls can re-find his best form after going three games without registering a goal or an assist.

Perth Glory possible starting lineup:
Velaphi; Ingham, Lachman, Aspropotamitis, Sullivan; Castro, Kilkenny, Wilson, D'Agostino; Keogh, Fornaroli

Brisbane Roar possible starting lineup:
Young; Gillesphey, Aldred, Trewin; Brown, O'Shea, Akbari, Hingert; Wenzel-Halls, Danzaki; McDonald


SM words green background

We say: Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar

This should be a very exciting encounter between two of the best sides in the Australian A-League. Brisbane have been struggling to score of late, something Perth never have trouble with, and we fancy the hosts to have too much firepower for the Roar and come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.


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