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Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Nashville

Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville

Insigne (38')
Mabika (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leal (69')
Bauer (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Nashville
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Nashville SC

All of the previous matches between these two have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate another tight one on Saturday between two clubs who have found a way to rack up some points in recent weeks.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
38.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.32% (0.064 0.06) 34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (-0.253 -0.25)55.73% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (-0.206 -0.21)76.87% (0.208 0.21)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)28.37% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (-0.168 -0.17)64.11% (0.17 0.17)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.152 -0.15)30.49% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.184 -0.18)66.71% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.07%
    Nashville SC 34.6%
    Draw 27.32%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.07%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs Nashville

Toronto
47.4%
Draw
26.3%
Nashville SC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville

Bradley (39')

Lovitz (32')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 12
Nashville
3-2
Toronto
Maher (62'), Haakenson (83', 90+2')
Osorio (26'), Mullins (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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