Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
38.08% ( -0.02) | 27.32% ( 0.06) | 34.6% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.27% ( -0.25) | 55.73% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.13% ( -0.21) | 76.87% ( 0.21) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( -0.13) | 28.37% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( -0.17) | 64.11% ( 0.17) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -0.15) | 30.49% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% ( -0.18) | 66.71% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |