Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Toronto |
58.31% ( -0.18) | 22.37% ( 0.07) | 19.32% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( -0.16) | 45.97% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( -0.16) | 68.28% ( 0.16) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.54% ( -0.12) | 15.46% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.68% ( -0.22) | 44.32% ( 0.22) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% ( 0.02) | 37.76% ( -0.02) |