Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
60.91% ( 0) | 21.19% ( -0) | 17.9% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( 0.01) | 43.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( 0.01) | 65.41% ( -0.01) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.34% ( 0) | 13.65% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.16% ( 0.01) | 40.84% ( -0.01) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% ( 0.01) | 37.6% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.61% ( 0.01) | 74.38% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.35% Total : 17.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |