Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
63.03% ( 0.26) | 20.58% ( 0.39) | 16.39% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -2.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% ( -3.02) | 42.93% ( 3.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% ( -3.06) | 65.33% ( 3.06) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% ( -0.85) | 13% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.48% ( -1.77) | 39.52% ( 1.77) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.64% ( -2.62) | 39.35% ( 2.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.94% ( -2.54) | 76.05% ( 2.54) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.01% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.16) Other @ 2% Total : 16.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |