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Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
New York Red Bulls

NY City
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls


Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
FT

Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Vancouver
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

It is a real possibility that both New York clubs will miss the MLS Cup playoffs in the same season for the first time, as we are nearing closer to now or never time for each. Many of their encounters this year have not gone their way, but NYCFC have created more scoring opportunities from one match to another when compared to the Red Bulls, and that is why we believe the home side will triumph on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
56.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 24.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 19.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (0.067999999999998 0.07)53.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.9% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (0.034000000000006 0.03)18.75% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (0.053999999999995 0.05)50.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)42.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (0.035 0.04)78.49% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 56.49%
    New York Red Bulls 19.31%
    Draw 24.19%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 56.49%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.31%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Fernandez (76')
Reyes (67'), Nealis (72'), Tolkin (81'), Casseres Jr (88')

Parks (37')
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
NY Red Bulls
0-1
NY City

Casseres Jr (84'), Amaya (86'), Nealis (90+4')
Castellanos (69')
Morales (41'), Acevedo (71'), Castellanos (88')
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 40
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')
Sep 26, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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