Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
74.42% ( -0.19) | 15.45% ( 0.1) | 10.13% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.08% ( -0.27) | 33.93% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.22% ( -0.31) | 55.78% ( 0.31) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.27% ( -0.1) | 7.74% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.47% ( -0.26) | 27.53% ( 0.26) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.04) | 43.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.68% ( -0.03) | 79.32% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 74.42% | 1-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.45% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |