Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
We said: Toronto 0-2 St Louis City
There are too many question marks surrounding Toronto at the moment, not just with potential absences, but also the fact that they do not look like a unified team in any way.
On the other hand, St Louis have consistently responded well when faced with adversity, while overall, they simply have more quality and cohesion than TFC.
How to watch
You can watch Toronto vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result |
Toronto | Draw | St Louis City |
53.18% ( -0.13) | 22.84% ( 0.06) | 23.98% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.11) |
57.67% ( -0.19) | 42.33% ( 0.19) |
35.27% ( -0.19) | 64.73% ( 0.19) |
84.08% ( -0.11) | 15.92% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.83% ( -0.21) | 45.17% ( 0.21) |
68.71% ( -0.04) | 31.29% ( 0.04) |