Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
64.97% ( -0.31) | 20.57% ( 0.09) | 14.46% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.26% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( 0.1) | 46.59% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.13% ( 0.09) | 68.86% ( -0.09) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( -0.06) | 13.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.34% ( -0.12) | 40.66% ( 0.12) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.83% ( 0.38) | 44.17% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.74% ( 0.31) | 80.26% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.96% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |