Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
57.38% ( -0.05) | 22% ( 0.01) | 20.61% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.43% ( -0.02) | 42.57% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% ( -0.01) | 64.97% ( 0.01) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% ( -0.02) | 14.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.3% ( -0.04) | 42.7% ( 0.04) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% ( 0.03) | 34.48% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( 0.03) | 71.19% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 10 |