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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Orlando City

Atlanta
1 - 1
Orlando City

Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, July 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Orlando City

Overall, Atlanta possesses more quality than Orlando, but the Lions have done well to neutralize opposing attacks, so we expect them to show discipline and structure against an aggressive Five Stripes team, who have not proven that they can remain consistent from one match to another. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
58.57% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 22.42% (0.02 0.02) 19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.89% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (-0.159 -0.16)46.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (-0.149 -0.15)68.93% (0.148 0.15)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)15.6% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)44.59% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.151 -0.15)38.51% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.145 -0.15)75.26% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.56%
    Orlando City 19%
    Draw 22.42%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Orlando City

Atlanta United
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Orlando City
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Orlando City
4-1
Atlanta
Dike (29'), Mueller (45+2'), Akindele (60'), Mendez (90+2')
Michel (88')
Torres (87')
Meza (45+1'), Remedi (81'), Mo (90+1')
Oct 8, 2020 12am
Atlanta
0-0
Orlando City

Escobar (36'), Mo (50'), Robinson (90')

Miller (77'), Schlegel (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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