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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Austin FC

Atlanta
0 - 3
Austin


Araujo (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Felipe (9'), Finlay (17'), Driussi (57')
Gallagher (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Austin
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Austin FC

Even though they always seem to leave it late, when Austin play with the kind of potency that we are seeing, it is difficult for any side to contain them. When you add to that the fact that the Five Stripes continuously suffer from at least one or two miscues each game, it would not be a surprise to see the Verde and Black win a fourth successive road fixture in what will be the first-ever meeting between both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
60.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64%66.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.55% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.74%
    Austin FC 17.86%
    Draw 21.39%
Atlanta UnitedDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 60.74%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.86%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Austin

Atlanta United
34.2%
Draw
10.5%
Austin FC
55.3%
38
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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