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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
2 - 0
Inter Miami

Araujo (4'), Martinez (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mota (25')
Mota (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 Inter Miami

 Momentum would suggest that Inter Miami should win this one. However, we are going with the Five Stripes because of their solid play at home, combined with how passive the Herons have been on the road. Josef Martinez looked good returning from injury in their previous encounter, and if he is healthy, that is a big part of their offence, which should lift their spirits tremendously. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
63.22% (0.363 0.36) 21.06% (-0.112 -0.11) 15.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (0.027999999999999 0.03)46.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.121 0.12)13.98% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.238 0.24)41.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.78% (-0.309 -0.31)42.22% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (-0.266 -0.27)78.63% (0.265 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 63.21%
    Inter Miami 15.72%
    Draw 21.05%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.05%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.72%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
67.6%
Draw
17.6%
Inter Miami
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Campana (28'), Duke (64')
Mabika (55'), Yedlin (74'), Marsman (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Cisneros (13')
Lennon (17')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
2-1
Inter Miami
Araujo (59'), Martinez (74')
Walkes (21'), Guzan (90+5'), Torres (90+5')
Higuain (32' pen.)
Figal (24'), Gonzalez Pirez (37'), Chapman (55'), Leerdam (57'), Higuain (67')
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Atlanta
1-0
Inter Miami
Martinez (78' pen.)

Gonzalez Pirez (24'), Matuidi (34'), Gibbs (48'), Chapman (89')
May 9, 2021 6pm
Inter Miami
1-1
Atlanta
Morgan (77')
Gregore (6'), Gonzalez Pirez (70'), Chapman (80'), Azcona (90+4')
Martinez (9')
Moreno (22'), Lopez (62'), Torres (90')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
1-1
Atlanta
Shea (80')
Trapp (90')
Mulraney (83')
Remedi (8'), Lennon (49'), Jahn (69'), Wyke (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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