Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen3 - 0Ajaccio
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
46.3% ( -0) | 27.67% ( 0) | 26.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.1% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
