MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 04:59:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Marseille

Ajaccio
1 - 0
Marseille

Vidal (88')
Soumano (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-3 Marseille

Ajaccio are going down with an almighty whimper and have suffered numerous heavy defeats in recent weeks. Despite some poor form of their own recently, Marseille should have more than enough to get the job done comfortably in Corsica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawMarseille
11.39% (-0.981 -0.98) 20.25% (-0.215 -0.22) 68.36% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 40.78% (-2.229 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-1.364 -1.36)51.95% (1.365 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-1.191 -1.19)73.69% (1.193 1.19)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.55% (-2.561 -2.56)52.45% (2.564 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7% (-1.715 -1.72)86.3% (1.717 1.72)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.22% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05% (-0.123 -0.12)41.95% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 11.39%
    Marseille 68.34%
    Draw 20.25%
AjaccioDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-1 @ 3.03% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 1.55% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.39%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 14.54% (0.74 0.74)
0-2 @ 14.18% (0.69 0.69)
0-3 @ 9.23% (0.429 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 4.5% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.76% (0.074 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 68.34%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Marseille

Ajaccio
9.7%
Draw
12.9%
Marseille
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 4pm
gameweek 10
Marseille
1-2
Ajaccio
Payet (15' pen.)
Moussiti-Oko (25'), Balerdi (47' og.)
Apr 4, 2014 7.30pm
Marseille
3-1
Ajaccio
Ayew (4', 60', 77')
Morel (90')
Tallo (62')
Nov 22, 2013 7.30pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Marseille
Perozo (31')
Cavalli (18'), Pierazzi (49'), Perozo (53'), Demba Camara (84')
Payet (27'), Gignac (39'), Thauvin (58')
Thauvin (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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