Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
50.73% ( 0.39) | 25.29% ( -0.26) | 23.97% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.27% ( 0.86) | 52.72% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.64% ( 0.73) | 74.36% ( -0.74) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( 0.51) | 20.79% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% ( 0.81) | 53.45% ( -0.81) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% ( 0.35) | 36.99% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% ( 0.35) | 73.78% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.72% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |