Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
25.4% ( -0.01) | 27.19% ( 0) | 47.4% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.37% ( -0.01) | 58.63% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% ( -0.01) | 79.18% ( 0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% ( -0.01) | 38.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.01) | 75.7% ( 0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( -0.01) | 24.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( -0.01) | 59.37% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |