Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.7% ( 0.02) | 20.57% ( 0.02) | 62.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% ( -0.04) | 42.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.32% ( -0.05) | 64.68% ( 0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% | 38.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( -0) | 75.32% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.02) | 12.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% ( -0.05) | 39.28% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.7% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |