Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Lens had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lens |
47.32% ( -0.62) | 25.36% ( 0.28) | 27.32% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.52% ( -0.93) | 50.47% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.59% ( -0.82) | 72.4% ( 0.82) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.65% ( -0.65) | 21.34% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.69% ( -1.01) | 54.3% ( 1) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( -0.23) | 32.94% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( -0.25) | 69.52% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |