Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
50.06% ( 0) | 24.35% ( -0) | 25.6% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% ( -0) | 47.5% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% | 69.71% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0) | 19.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( 0) | 50.57% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0) | 32.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% ( -0) | 69.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |