MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 08:10:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Montpellier

Nice
6 - 1
Montpellier

Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Pepe (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Savanier (80')
Khazri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 0-1 Montpellier HSC

Nice have been out of sorts recently, and they have a very poor record at home, picking up just nine points in their opening eight matches at the Allianz Riviera. Montpellier have also struggled, but they managed to win their last away match in Ligue 1, so we think that they could make it two on the spin on Wednesday in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
50.06% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.6% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)47.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29%69.71%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.57%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.3% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 50.05%
    Montpellier HSC 25.6%
    Draw 24.34%
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Nice vs Montpellier

Nice
50.8%
Draw
24.6%
Montpellier HSC
24.6%
65
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
0-0
Nice

Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')

Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Nice
3-1
Montpellier
Laborde (3'), Boudaoui (6'), Todibo (39'), Claude-Maurice (40')
Mollet (56'), Boudaoui (59'), Wahi (66')
Sep 12, 2020 4pm
Montpellier
3-1
Nice
Laborde (18'), Congre (50', 64')
Dante (69')
Maolida (40'), Dolberg (82')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest331610750341658
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Reims32118133946-741
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
12Toulouse321010123942-340
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!