Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lille had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Lille win it was 2-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
22.16% | 22.54% | 55.29% |
Both teams to score 56.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% | 43.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% | 65.41% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% | 33.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% | 69.86% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.56% | 15.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.71% | 44.29% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.81% 1-0 @ 5.65% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.16% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |