Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
12.49% | 15.93% | 71.58% |
Both teams to score 59.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.84% | 29.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.82% | 50.17% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% | 35.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% | 72.46% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.82% | 7.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.91% | 26.09% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.58% 1-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.62% 2-0 @ 1.36% 3-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.06% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 2.56% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.93% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 8.04% 0-3 @ 7.81% 0-1 @ 6.75% 1-4 @ 5.3% 0-4 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 4.14% 1-5 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 2.73% 0-5 @ 2.71% 2-5 @ 1.44% 1-6 @ 1.23% 0-6 @ 1.19% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.32% Total : 71.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |