Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lens |
54.77% ( 0.01) | 23.39% ( -0) | 21.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( 0.01) | 47.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( 0) | 69.33% ( -0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0) | 17.07% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.74% ( 0.01) | 47.26% ( -0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( -0) | 35.84% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0) | 72.62% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |