Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nice |
52.59% ( -0.13) | 25.13% ( 0.05) | 22.28% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.13) | 53.61% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.11) | 75.11% ( 0.11) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( -0.11) | 20.38% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( -0.17) | 52.8% ( 0.17) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.92% ( -0) | 39.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.2% ( -0) | 75.8% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |