Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Angers | 3 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Ajaccio | 3 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Reims | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Monaco | 3 | -2 | 4 |
12 | Lille | 3 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Montpellier HSC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Lille |
32.67% ( -0.13) | 31.48% ( -0.06) | 35.85% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 38.35% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.51% ( 0.14) | 69.49% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.09% ( 0.09) | 86.91% ( -0.09) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% ( -0.01) | 39.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.09% ( -0.01) | 75.91% ( 0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( 0.21) | 36.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.29% ( 0.21) | 73.72% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 32.67% | 0-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.47% | 0-1 @ 14.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 35.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |