MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 05:05:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 14, 2022 at 1.06am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Toluca
4 - 3
Santos Laguna

Gonzalez (4'), Sanvezzo (6', 73'), Volpi (90+2' pen.)
Volpi (27'), Mosquera (51'), Sanvezzo (66'), Baeza (69'), Meneses (75')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gorriaran (30' pen.), Preciado (38'), Aguirre (49')
Brunetta (44'), Campos (45+2'), Correa (82')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Mazatlan
Monday, October 3 at 12.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawSantos Laguna
44.19% (0.404 0.4) 23.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 32.54% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 63.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)38.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.41% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (0.145 0.14)17.75% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56% (0.253 0.25)48.43% (-0.256 -0.26)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.239 -0.24)23.31% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (-0.347 -0.35)57.26% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 44.19%
    Santos Laguna 32.54%
    Draw 23.26%
TolucaDrawSantos Laguna
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.15% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.54%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 11pm
Toluca
2-1
Santos Laguna
Fernandez (11' pen.), Sierra (25')
Ruiz (45'), Angulo (86')
Rodriguez (75')
Rodriguez (31'), Doria (88'), (90+7')
Jan 16, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Santos Laguna
Alvarez (41'), Fernandez (56'), Rigonato Rodrigues (80')
Rodriguez (21'), Ortega (37'), Garcia (76'), Fernandez (79')
Preciado (22')
Doria (84')
Oct 25, 2021 1.06am
Santos Laguna
2-2
Toluca
Da Cruz (33'), Aguirre (90+6')
Da Cruz (44'), Preciado (49')
Chavez (56'), Canelo (76')
Gutierrez (26'), Rigonato Rodrigues (34'), Vanegas (47'), Sartiaguin (90+4')
Apr 19, 2021 1am
Santos Laguna
3-1
Toluca
Aguirre (4', 17'), Otero (53')
Isijara (30')
Canelo (68')
Yrizar (45+1'), Barbieri (45+3'), Triverio (80'), Baeza (90+3')
Rigonato Rodrigues (87')
Sep 20, 2020 6pm
Toluca
1-2
Santos Laguna
Estrada (90+1')
Mora (45'), Sambueza (68'), Sartiaguin (88')
Sandoval (40'), Rivero (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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