Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca3 - 0Juarez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Pumas
Saturday, October 1 at 3am in Liga MX
Saturday, October 1 at 3am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
52.32% ( 0.06) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 23.26% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.11% ( 0.04) | 49.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% ( 0.04) | 71.88% ( -0.04) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( 0.04) | 19.03% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.39% ( 0.07) | 50.61% ( -0.07) |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% ( -0.02) | 36.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.14% ( -0.02) | 72.85% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca 52.32%
Juarez 23.26%
Draw 24.42%
Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 23.26% |
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Jul 24, 2021 3am
Juarez
1-3
Toluca
Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
Armoa (27')
May 1, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Toluca
Sambueza (34')
Sep 9, 2020 1am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-29 00:40:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
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