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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Swansea City |
37.37% ( 0.09) | 26.22% ( 0.02) | 36.41% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% ( -0.1) | 51.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% ( -0.08) | 72.98% ( 0.09) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( 0) | 26.59% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.19% ( 0.01) | 61.81% ( -0.01) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( -0.11) | 27.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% ( -0.14) | 62.54% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 20 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
22 | Luton TownLuton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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