MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 22:50:41| >> :120:56227:56227:
Syria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
North Korea national football team

Syria
1 - 0
North Korea

Al Somah (37' pen.)
Al Midani (34'), Osman (72'), Mardikian (90+7'), Mardikian (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kuk-Bom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Syria and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Syria 1-2 Kuwait
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 North Korea
Friday, July 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Syria 2-1 North Korea

Given North Korea's absence from the international stage, the outcome of this contest is difficult to predict. It leaves us only able to predict a victory for Syria, albeit in a highly-competitive match with what could be at stake come the end of the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 4.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (13.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.

Result
SyriaDrawNorth Korea
81.94% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 13.29% (-0.028 -0.03) 4.77% (-0.0199 -0.02)
Both teams to score 31.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)45.07% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (0.022000000000006 0.02)67.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (0.016000000000005 0.02)8.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)29.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.97% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)65.03% (0.065000000000012 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.99% (-0.0281 -0.03)93.01% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Syria 81.93%
    North Korea 4.77%
    Draw 13.29%
SyriaDrawNorth Korea
2-0 @ 16.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 13.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 13.75%
4-0 @ 8.42% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 4.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.62%
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.93%
1-1 @ 5.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.29%
0-1 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 4.77%

How you voted: Syria vs North Korea

Syria
64.7%
Draw
11.8%
North Korea
23.5%
17
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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