MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:55:55| >> :600:21105934:21105934:
Qatar national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 12, 2024 at 4pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Lebanon national football team

Qatar
3 - 0
Lebanon

Afif (45', 90+6'), Ali (56')
Alaaeldin (86'), Ro-Ro (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haidar (51'), Srour (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Qatar and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 1-2 Jordan
Friday, January 5 at 4pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Lebanon
Thursday, January 4 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Qatar 2-0 Lebanon

The defending champions Qatar are not only the favourites heading into this match but are also fancied to top Group A of this competition. The Maroons have gone through a tricky couple of years behind the scenes and will want to put that behind them with a solid showing on their home patch. We expect an electric atmosphere at the Lusail Iconic Stadium on Friday and are backing the hosts to get off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawLebanon
40.44%26.14%33.41%
Both teams to score 53.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84%51.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99%73%
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07%24.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44%59.56%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12%64.88%
Score Analysis
    Qatar 40.43%
    Lebanon 33.41%
    Draw 26.14%
QatarDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Qatar vs Lebanon

Qatar
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Lebanon
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
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