MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:14:57| >> :60:21:21:
Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Latvia national football team

Poland
2 - 0
Latvia

Frankowski (7'), Lewandowski (48')
Bednarek (33'), Swiderski (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Uldrikis (26'), Cernomordijs (75'), Oss (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Poland and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 1-1 Czech Republic
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Croatia
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia7813
3Wales7011
4Armenia7-18
5Latvia8-143

We said: Poland 3-0 Latvia

Amid two managerial alterations, Poland's on-field activities have left something to be desired in 2023, but the Eagles will surely close out a challenging year on a high note. Barring one success over Armenia, performances and goals have been hard to come by for Latvia in recent months, and even if Probierz does shuffle his resources, Poland should emerge triumphant in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawLatvia
64.24% (-0.217 -0.22) 22.11% (0.11 0.11) 13.65% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (-0.204 -0.2)54.26% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (-0.168 -0.17)75.66% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)16.32% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.261 -0.26)45.9% (0.261 0.26)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)50.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.029 0.03)84.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Poland 64.23%
    Latvia 13.65%
    Draw 22.11%
PolandDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 14.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 8.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Poland vs Latvia

Poland
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Latvia
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
0-3
Poland

Maksimenko (52')
Lewandowski (9', 13', 76')
Oct 10, 2019
7.45pm
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Poland
2-0
Latvia
Lewandowski (76'), Glik (84')
Piatek (25'), Kedziora (69')

Dubra (18'), Maksimenko (53'), Ikaunieks (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!