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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol City

Sainz (58')
Mehmeti (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roberts (55')
Williams (90+2'), McLean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Bristol City

Despite the relentlessness of Norwich at Carrow Road, we expect Bristol City to push them all the way here. However, that may still not be enough, and the Canaries could edge this fixture in the final quarter of the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.26% (0.47 0.47) 20.3% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-2.07 -2.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-2.403 -2.4)52.44% (2.4 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-2.099 -2.1)74.11% (2.098 2.1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.902 -0.9)18.8% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-1.525 -1.53)50.23% (1.523 1.52)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-1.868 -1.87)40.44% (1.865 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-1.732 -1.73)77.05% (1.73 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.42%
    Bristol City 20.3%
    Draw 24.26%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.82 0.82)
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.698 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.305 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Bristol City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-2
Norwich
Knight (34')
Tanner (72')
Tanner (59' og.), Idah (90+5')
Duffy (26')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich
Placheta (49')
Giannoulis (79'), Forshaw (86'), Barnes (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
2-0
Bristol City
Hugill (37', 76')
Cantwell (51')

Palmer (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom12552137620
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
22Luton TownLuton123271420-611
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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