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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
55.43% ( -0.01) | 24.26% ( 0.47) | 20.3% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( -2.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.56% ( -2.4) | 52.44% ( 2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( -2.1) | 74.11% ( 2.1) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( -0.9) | 18.8% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.77% ( -1.53) | 50.23% ( 1.52) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( -1.87) | 40.44% ( 1.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( -1.73) | 77.05% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.08% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 20 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
22 | Luton TownLuton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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