Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.