Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Ipswich Town |
32.71% ( -0.31) | 25.88% ( 0.1) | 41.4% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.76% ( -0.5) | 50.23% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% ( -0.45) | 72.19% ( 0.45) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% ( -0.45) | 28.98% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.12% ( -0.56) | 64.88% ( 0.56) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.12) | 24.02% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.17) | 58.28% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 20 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
22 | Luton TownLuton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
> Championship Full Table |