Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton3 - 4Arsenal
The Match
Match Report
Declan Rice nets a 97th-minute winner as Arsenal beat Luton Town 4-3 at Kenilworth Road to move five points clear at the top of the Premier League.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Arsenal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Tuesday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Arsenal |
18.79% ( 0.27) | 21.42% ( 0.21) | 59.78% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
