MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:44:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 2
Carrick

Teggart (40')
Wallace (53'), McGuckin (87')
Garrett (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cushley (21' pen.), Allen (30')
Ward (85')
Teelan (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Loughgall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
40.86% (-0.183 -0.18) 24.1% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 35.04% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.79% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.38% (0.177 0.18)41.62% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.178 0.18)64.02% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)53.06% (0.012 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.19500000000001 0.2)23.48% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.284 0.28)57.49% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 40.86%
    Carrick Rangers 35.04%
    Draw 24.1%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.86%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.04%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon

McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1382327131426
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena148062015524
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon147251913623
4CliftonvilleCliftonville136341714321
5GlentoranGlentoran146351512321
6CrusadersCrusaders126241512320
7ColeraineColeraine145451919019
8PortadownPortadown135351716118
9LarneLarne10433119215
10GlenavonGlenavon143651116-515
11Carrick RangersCarrick133281324-1111
12Loughgall1422101435-218


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