Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
Gibraltar0 - 3France
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Gibraltar and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Gibraltar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Greece | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Greece | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 2 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Gibraltar 0-5 France
It would take a bold punter to back against France on Friday considering the significant gulf in quality between the two nations. Just a draw for Gibraltar would go down as one of the greatest results in their history, but we expect Les Bleus to come away with a comprehensive victory and extend their lead at the top of Group B. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.88%) and 0-4 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.69%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | France |
2.32% ( 0.01) | 8.35% ( 0.02) | 89.33% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 27.62% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
