MX23RW : Friday, November 1 00:19:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
St Patrick's Athletic

Derry
3 - 0
St Patrick's

Kavanagh (11'), Patching (26'), McEneff (86')
Connolly (30'), Dummigan (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGrath (85')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cork City 0-1 Derry
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
54.69% (0.343 0.34) 24.84% (-0.032 -0.03) 20.48% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 46.98% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.219 -0.22)54.4% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.182 -0.18)75.77% (0.184 0.18)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.049999999999997 0.05)19.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.080000000000005 0.08)51.94% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.454 -0.45)41.38% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (-0.405 -0.41)77.89% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 54.68%
    St Patrick's Athletic 20.48%
    Draw 24.83%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 54.68%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.48%

How you voted: Derry vs St Patrick's

Derry City
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
4-1
Derry
McGrath (36'), Doyle (62'), Forrester (67'), Doyle (79')
Murphy (61')
Kavanagh (65')
McEleney (41'), Graydon (83')
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
2-0
St Patrick's
Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne351612739271260
2Shamrock RoversShamrock351610948341458
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's351681149371256
4Derry CityDerry351413848301855
5Galway United351312103228451
6Sligo RoversSligo351310124049-949
7Waterford UnitedWaterford35136164245-345
8Bohemians351011143842-441
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda35712164158-1733
10DundalkDundalk35510202350-2725


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!