Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.