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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
2 - 0
Swansea

Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fulton (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

With confidence relatively low in each of these camps, we are expecting a war of attrition over a match full of quality. In the end, though, we can only predict a share of the spoils, one that would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
37.08% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.31%35.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.89% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 37.08%
    Swansea City 35.61%
    Draw 27.31%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Swansea City
10.0%
40
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
3-0
Cardiff
Paterson (29'), Piroe (60'), Bidwell (74')
Manning (63')

Bacuna (26'), Vaulks (90+1')
Mar 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
0-1
Cardiff
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom12552137620
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
22Luton TownLuton123271420-611
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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