We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City
With confidence relatively low in each of these camps, we are expecting a war of attrition over a match full of quality. In the end, though, we can only predict a share of the spoils, one that would not necessarily suit either team.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.