Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
53.36% ( 0.25) | 24.18% ( -0.06) | 22.46% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.28% ( 0.06) | 49.72% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.27% ( 0.05) | 71.73% ( -0.05) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.43% ( 0.12) | 18.57% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.16% ( 0.2) | 49.83% ( -0.2) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.27% ( -0.14) | 36.72% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% ( -0.14) | 73.51% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |