Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
29.54% ( -0.64) | 26.9% ( 0.08) | 43.55% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.59% ( -0.55) | 55.4% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.4% ( -0.45) | 76.6% ( 0.45) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% ( -0.76) | 33.83% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.5% ( -0.83) | 70.5% ( 0.84) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( 0.04) | 25.24% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( 0.05) | 59.99% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |