Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Clermont |
39.88% ( -0.33) | 26.81% ( 0.67) | 33.31% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.14% ( -2.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.08% ( -2.8) | 53.92% ( 2.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( -2.4) | 75.37% ( 2.4) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( -1.46) | 26.49% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -1.98) | 61.68% ( 1.98) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -1.6) | 30.43% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( -1.95) | 66.63% ( 1.95) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |