MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:37:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
4 - 0
Newry City AFC

Stewart (21', 45+1'), McCurry (52'), McCullough (79' pen.)
Brown (61'), Barr (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Forde (11'), McGovern (16'), Salley (43'), Bagnall (56'), McGivern (78')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 1-0 Glenavon
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
56.94% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 22.31% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)43.76% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.15% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)43.74% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)35.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.76% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 56.93%
    Newry City AFC 20.75%
    Draw 22.3%
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.75%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Newry City AFC
1-1
Ballymena
Salley (76')
Bagnall (56'), Forde (69'), Poynton (81')
Stewart (73')
Rocks (40')
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Newry City AFC
0-0
Ballymena
Poynton (18'), Bagnall (46'), McGivern (47')
Nelson (7'), Boyle (46'), Westendorf (50')
Tennant (66')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ballymena
0-2
Newry City AFC

Burns (38')
Burns (52')
Salley (19'), Newell (84')
Lockhart (2'), O'Connor (15'), McGivern (44'), Salley (55'), Hughes (59'), Healy (89')
McGivern (69')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Newry City AFC
2-2
Ballymena
Teelan (42'), Scullion (67')
Strain (6', 64')
Jan 24, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1382327131426
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena148062015524
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon147251913623
4CliftonvilleCliftonville136341714321
5GlentoranGlentoran146351512321
6CrusadersCrusaders126241512320
7ColeraineColeraine145451919019
8PortadownPortadown135351716118
9LarneLarne10433119215
10GlenavonGlenavon143651116-515
11Carrick RangersCarrick133281324-1111
12Loughgall1422101435-218


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