Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
41.43% ( -0.16) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 34.05% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% ( -0.36) | 43.79% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% ( -0.35) | 66.18% ( 0.35) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% ( -0.23) | 21.21% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.89% ( -0.36) | 54.1% ( 0.35) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.13) | 25.05% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( -0.17) | 59.73% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |