Shelbourne

2 - 1

Dundalk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.