Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
36.9% | 24.78% | 38.31% |
Both teams to score 58.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% | 44.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% | 67% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% | 23.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.96% | 58.03% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.89% | 23.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.04% | 56.96% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |