Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
39.39% | 26.41% | 34.2% |
Both teams to score 52.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.87% | 52.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% | 73.85% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% | 25.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% | 60.94% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% | 28.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% | 64.85% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |